James Spann: One more dry day for Alabama before the rain returns



BLUE SKY: With clear skies, temperatures across Alabama this afternoon will hover between 68 and 74 degrees, right at seasonal levels – a perfect fall day. Tonight will be clear with lows of 45 to 55 degrees.

Friday will feature partly to mostly sunny skies with a high in the mid 70s. Increasing clouds late Friday evening.

ALABAMA WEEKEND: Rain will push into west Alabama on Saturday and will likely reach the I-65 corridor by mid to late afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center maintains a low marginal risk (level 1 out of 5) of severe thunderstorms for southwestern counties of the state Saturday; a few storms could produce strong gusty winds there.

But there will be little to no surface instability for most of the state, and we expect nothing more than a few isolated rumbles of thunder. There will be rain across the state from Saturday night into Sunday morning. A gap of dry air with rain ending from the southwest will affect conditions on Sunday afternoon. Highs will be in the 70s on Saturday, followed by mid- to 60s Sunday.

EVE OF ALL SAINTS: There will be more cloud than sun on Monday and a touch of scattered light rain or drizzle cannot be ruled out, but many areas will be dry for cheaters during the evening. Monday’s high will be between 70 and 74 degrees.

The rest of next week: Tuesday will be dry with highs in the 70s; then a fast moving disturbance will bring a chance of showers to Wednesday. Thursday and Friday look dry with highs in the 70s.FOOTBALL WEATHER: Skies will be mostly fair for Friday night’s high school games across Alabama with temperatures dropping from the low 70s early into the 60s by the second half.

Saturday Auburn hosts Arkansas (11 a.m. kickoff) at Jordan-Hare Stadium; skies will mostly cloud over during the game, but for now we expect the weather to remain dry. Temperatures will rise from near 68 at the start to the low 70s during the second half.

The Magic City Classic (Alabama A&M vs. Alabama State) is Saturday at Birmingham’s Legion Field (2:30 p.m. kickoff). Skies will be mostly cloudy, with temperatures hovering around 70 degrees in the first half, dropping into the upper sixties by the final whistle. A little rain cannot be ruled out in the second half.

UAB is at Florida Atlantic in Boca Raton Saturday night (6 p.m. kickoff). Skies will be clear with temperatures dropping from near 80 degrees in the early to mid 70s by the final whistle.

TROPICS: Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that a trough of low pressure is extending over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean and continues to produce a wide area of ​​disorganized showers and thunderstorms. A surface low pressure system is forecast to develop along the northern axis of the trough tonight, and a subtropical low could develop during the next day as the system moves northward across the western Atlantic. By late Saturday, upper-level winds are expected to become less favorable for development, and low-level winds are expected to begin interacting with an approaching frontal system. This system will remain well east of the US

An area of ​​low pressure is expected to form over the eastern Caribbean Sea this weekend, likely associated with the southern portion of an existing low pressure trough over the area. Environmental conditions are forecast to favor gradual development and a tropical depression could form early next week as the disturbance moves generally to the west or west-northwest across the central Caribbean Sea. It is too early to know if it will affect any terrestrial mass.ON THIS DATE IN 1940: A late-season heat wave was sweeping across the Deep South; Birmingham soared to 88 degrees, which is still the daily record for October 27th.

ON THIS DATE IN 2006: An F1 (waterspout) tornado came ashore and caused significant damage on the west side of Apalachicola, Florida.

BEACH FORECAST: Click here to view the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.

For more weather reports and information from James Spann and his team, visit AlabamaWx.

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